We have our final win total season predictions, playoff picture, awards and Super Bowl predictions below. See what three changes were flipped since our initial AFC, NFC win total predictions, the Micah trade may have changed one NFC teams selection.
Overall my thoughts on going into this season are there are 4 (possibly a fifth in Jayden Daniels if he can replicate last season) and then the QB’s 6-15 feel like a tight race. The difference in overall skill between Jordan Love and Baker Mayfield or Justin Herbert and CJ Stroud, is so slim. To me it’s more nuances and some I prefer over others but the amount these guys change their teams trajectory to the next guy I feel is very small.
With that in mind it feels like to make a real run and be a competitive team in this league you need one of those top-4 guys and can have a bad team around them or you need a good defense and good team and one of the top-6 to 15 guys. That should get you in the playoffs or at least around 9 wins total.
But to win the Super Bowl and the teams that are really in contention they have one of two things. In my eyes there are 6 teams that can win the Super Bowl. Those teams are the Bills, Ravens, Chiefs, Eagles, Lions and Packers. All 6 of these teams have are one of two things. They have either one of the top-4 QB’s and a good set of skill players, offensive line and defense or they have a good QB and an elite defense, great coach and/or good skill position players.
I ultimately believe this is the year the Bills circle their wagons around the Lombardi Trophy and defeat the Eagles in the Super Bowl. I think Josh Allen will be too much in the playoffs this year. I think the Bills have the best chance to have the best record in the AFC and have home field advantage. With the loss of Creed Humphries, Travis Kelce showing signs of decline and a 6 game suspension from Rashee Rice I think the Chiefs will still win the AFC West but finish with a worse record than the Bills.
The NFC feels like it’s the Eagles to take again this year. The Lions I feel have taken a step back after losing their starting Pro-Bowl center and both of their coordinators this offseason. But they are still an ultra talented roster and have a steadiness at the head coach and quarterback spots. The Micah trade I think vaulted the Packers into a contender for me. They have been consistently winning double digit games with LeFleur as head coach. With the addition of Parsons playing opposite Rashan Gary, I think this defense will be one that teams won’t want to see in the playoffs. Ultimately I think the Eagles have too talented of a roster to not make it back to the Super Bowl.
Ultimately it just feels like Josh Allen is at that point that we got to with Manning. The guy is clearly the best or second best quarterback in the league. The only guy beating him is the one beating everyone (Brady to Manning is Mahomes to Allen). Coming off an MVP, I think Allen and the offense has the weapons to make their run and hoist the Lombardi in February.
Final Over Unders and Changes:
Arizona Cardinals – 8.5: Under
Atlanta Falcons – 7.5: Over
Baltimore Ravens – 11.5: Over
Buffalo Bills – 11.5: Over
Carolina Panthers – 6.5: Over
Chicago Bears – 8.5: Under
Cincinnati Bengals – 9.5: Over
Cleveland Browns – 4.5: Under
Dallas Cowboys – 7.5: Under
Denver Broncos – 9.5: Over
Detroit Lions – 10.5: Under
Green Bay Packers – 9.5: Over
Houston Texans – 9.5: Over
Indianapolis Colts – 7.5: Under
Jacksonville Jaguars – 7.5: Under
Kansas City Chiefs – 11.5: Over
Las Vegas Raiders – 6.5: Over
Los Angeles Chargers – 9.5: Under
Los Angeles Rams – 9.5: Over
Miami Dolphins – 8.5: Under
Minnesota Vikings – 8.5: Under
New England Patriots – 8.5: Over
New Orleans Saints – 5.5: Under
New York Giants – 5.5: Over
New York Jets – 5.5: Under
Philadelphia Eagles – 11.5: Over
Pittsburgh Steelers – 8.5: Under
San Francisco 49ers – 10.5: Under
Seattle Seahawks – 8.5: Over
Tampa Bay Buccaneers – 9.5: Under
Tennessee Titans – 5.5: Over
Washington Commanders – 9.5: Over
Three changes to our original picks, that can be found on our site for a more on our picks. The three changes are the following:
Denver Broncos: Over
I’m flip flopping them and the Chargers. The Broncos defense should be good again and Sean Payton usually just finds a way to get the most out of his offenses. But most importantly the Chargers are really losing a lot in the loss to Rashawn Slater. I think that changes their entire trajectory as a team and I think the Broncos are the team to get the biggest advantage from that loss.
Los Angeles Chargers: Under
I really liked the prospect of them having two elite tackles and what they could accomplish in the run game and in the trenches. Losing that much talent on the offensive line I think is too much for them to put up a 10+ win season in such a competitive AFC West. The talent is a huge loss but in this case they lose the identity that I thought they were building in LA.
New York Giants: Over
This could be one I quickly regret but I am making this move for three reasons. First and foremost they have one of the best defensive lines in the league. Abdul Carter looks like he is every bit worth the third pick in the draft and will strengthen an already strong Giants front. Second, I think the Cowboys are taking a huge step back with the loss of Micah Parsons. Someone is going to take advantage of that and I think the Giants are the ones to do it. Lastly I think the QB situation might not be as bad as I thought before the preseason. I won’t be surprised if Dart sees the field this year and I think that might be a positive thing now.
AFC Playoff Picture:
AFC East: Buffalo Bills
AFC North: Baltimore Ravens
AFC South: Houston Texans
AFC West: Kansas City Chiefs
WC: Denver Broncos
WC: Cincinnati Bengals
WC: New England Patriots
NFC Playoff Picture:
NFC East: Philadelphia Eagles
NFC North: Green Bay Packers
NFC South: Atlanta Falcons
NFC West: Seattle Seahawks
WC: Detroit Lions
WC: Washington Commanders
WC: Los Angeles Rams
AFC Championship:
Buffalo Bills
NFC Championship:
Philadelphia Eagles
Super Bowl Champions:
Buffalo Bills
MVP:
- Josh Allen
- Lamar Jackson
- Patrick Mahomes
OPOY:
- Derrick Henry
- Ja’Marr Chase
- Saquon Barkley
DPOY:
- Micah Parsons
- Myles Garrett
- Aiden Hutchinson
OROY:
- Ashton Jeanty
- Cam Ward
- Treyvon Henderson
DROY
- Abdul Carter
- Nick Emmanwori
- Shemar Stewart
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