Running behind this week in the middle of a move. Be sure to follow our Twitter @ThePSSports for our picks. Unfortunately we took the Bills at home -11.5 and it was part of our Super 5 for this week.Coming off a 10-6 Week 2 and a season record of 18-15, here are some takeaways from last week moving into Week 3!
The Bears are who we thought they were! Coming into this year, I thought the Bears would be overmatched by their divisional counterparts. Maybe if they found themselves in a weak division like the AFC South, they could find a way to manufacture more wins, but after two losses against NFC North foes, the Bears already find themselves in an uphill battle to make the playoffs.
Green Bay continues to shine. It’s been eight quarters of control for the Packers this season, and against two teams that might actually be pretty good. Green Bay continues to look like the class of the NFC, and going into a road game against a Cleveland team that just came off a loss against a physical Baltimore team, I think it’s safe to assume Green Bay starts 3-0.
Can Kansas City miss the playoffs? My answer right now is I don’t think they will miss the playoffs. This felt like a season where they may have to ride out some time until the return of Rashee Rice from suspension. But the team from last year that eked out these close wins might have finally caught the regression bug.
Las Vegas at Washington -3
Washington -3
No Jayden Daniels, some problems, but not enough to sway me away. Short week on the road for Las Vegas and extra time to prepare for Washington. The loss of Daniels is obviously enormous, but I think this is a tough schedule play for the Raiders and a good enough veteran in Mariota to take this one by more than three at home.
Atlanta at Carolina +5.5
Atlanta -5.5
Would this line be higher if Carolina didn’t make that game close against Arizona? Carolina was getting hammered by an Arizona team that I still don’t think is very good despite the 2-0 record. Bryce and the gang cut it down to a single-score game, but what has Carolina shown on either side of the ball that you like? I think Penix and Robinson tear apart this bad Carolina defense, and a sneaky “are they good?” defense in Atlanta suffocates an offense that has looked bad seven of the eight quarters they’ve played.
Green Bay at Cleveland +7.5
Green Bay -7.5
K.I.S.S.—Keep It Simple, Stupid. Green Bay is a very good football team, and Cleveland is a very bad football team. Unless there is a weird turnover battle won by Cleveland or a crazy special teams play, I don’t see how Green Bay doesn’t come out of Cleveland with a win and likely a win by multiple scores. I said in our first week’s post that Cleveland and New Orleans I don’t want to bet on unless proven otherwise. I’m not betting Cleveland any week until I’m shown something I did not see in Weeks 1 and 2.
Pittsburgh at New England +1.5
Pittsburgh -1.5
One of the harder games of the week for me to pick. Seattle showed that if you can get pressure on Rodgers, the age will show. But New England doesn’t have the defensive line talent that Seattle does. I’m leaning Pittsburgh even as a road favorite, as I just don’t think New England’s defense can do enough to slow down the Steelers.
Los Angeles (R) at Philadelphia -3.5
Philadelphia -3.5
Philly is feeling a little bit like Kansas City did last year. They don’t always look great from start to finish of the game, but a strong infrastructure is leading to wins. I think the Eagles are still really talented and one of the four best teams in the league. The Rams may be 2-0, but with wins against Houston and Tennessee, I think that record is a little deceiving. People seem to remember how close the playoff game against Philly was last year but forget Saquon ran for 255 yards against the Rams. I think Philly is able to control the trenches and takes this one at home.
Indianapolis at Tennessee +4.5
Tennessee +4.5
Two teams that, at a glance, you think are really far apart, but I just don’t think so. I think a lot of these AFC South games end up being pretty competitive, and the Colts are giving me flashbacks of last year’s Saints team that went 2-0 to start. I just think the Titans’ defense getting 4.5 points at home against Daniel Jones is too many, and I wouldn’t be surprised if Tennessee wins the game outright.
New York (J) at Tampa Bay -6.5
Tampa Bay -6.5
No Justin Fields? Wouldn’t matter—the Jets have a lot of problems. Tyrod Taylor will start for a banged-up Jets team that looked really bad against a Bills defense that is just mediocre. Tampa has found themselves at 2-0 despite playing both games on the road. I think the Buccaneers are sneakily the third-best team in the NFC right now, and I think they put the league on watch in their first home game. I will also say at -6.5 this is the first leg of a two-team teaser that I really like this week. Can you guess who the second team will be?
Cincinnati at Minnesota
Cincinnati +3
A battle of backups! Browning vs. Wentz was not the matchup anyone was hoping for, but what does that mean when trying to pick against the line? Browning has shown he can fill Burrow’s shoes in seasons past but also turned the ball over a few times against a not-great Jacksonville defense. Wentz is a huge question mark. He’s frankly not been impressive when playing, plus the loss of Aaron Jones. There is just too much unknown with Wentz. I’m going to take the Bengals and the points, but if you bet real money on this game, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Houston at Jacksonville -1.5
Jacksonville -1.5
Neither of these football teams are good. But I’m getting Jacksonville at home and only have to lay 1.5 points. CJ Stroud looks nowhere near the quarterback he was during his rookie campaign. It’s starting to really raise questions for me, but it still feels like the betting market hasn’t accepted that he’s diminished right now. I don’t think Jacksonville will control the game, but if I only have to give 1.5 points up in a divisional game with two evenly matched teams, I’ll take the home team.
New Orleans at Seattle -7.5
Seattle -7.5
If you guessed Seattle as the second team in that teaser, you win! I really like Seattle here, and apparently so did bettors, as the line has jumped a full point this week. First road game for the Saints and Spencer Rattler this week against a Seahawks team that looked good in Week 2. I said I wouldn’t bet the Saints until I’m shown something to change that, and Week 2 I went against my better judgment. Not this week! I love Seattle here.
Denver at Los Angeles (C) -3
Los Angeles -3
The only concern here for the Chargers was their inability to just put the nail in the coffin last week against the Raiders. The Chargers have looked strong to start the season, and Herbert is really looking like he wants to join the elite class of QBs. I very much dislike Sean Payton, but the Broncos got screwed last weekend in Indianapolis. I think this is one of the best games of the week. I’m going to take Herbert at home if I only have to give up three points against every team in the AFC outside of Buffalo and Baltimore.
Arizona at San Francisco -2.5
San Francisco -2.5
I’m going to preface this by saying I don’t think either of the teams are very good. Arizona is 2-0, but with wins over Carolina and New Orleans, I think they may be in for a rude awakening. San Francisco at full strength is a good football team, but they just haven’t been able to do that for a while. I think San Francisco gets the job done at home and moves to 3-0, but unless they get healthy, I don’t think winning games is sustainable.
Dallas at Chicago +1.5
Chicago +1.5
I started this week’s post by saying the Bears are off to a bad start. The Cowboys-Giants game might have been a fun watch, but I came away from that game with real questions about the Cowboys’ defense. You gave up 400+ passing yards to this version of Russell Wilson? I think Chicago gets one in the win column this week.
Kansas City at New York (G) +5.5
Kansas City -5.5
I’ll start by saying there is no way the Chiefs start 0-3 with a loss to this Giants team. Patrick Mahomes does not look like the quarterback we saw for his first few seasons, and Kelce is not the same athlete either, but the Chiefs know how to win football games, and this Giants team flat out doesn’t. I think the Chiefs get back on track against a bad Giants team.
Detroit at Baltimore -5.5
Baltimore -5.5
Detroit’s offense looked back on track against Chicago last week after a bad Week 1 performance against Green Bay. That is all fine, but I think Baltimore is just a whole other tier above Detroit, and the line shows that. I see this as a high-scoring affair but don’t see how the Lions keep up with their defense. I think Lamar and Henry break off a few big runs late in this one and seal a comfortable victory for the Ravens.
Super 5
BUF
SEA
WAS
GB
TB
Season Record
4-7
PostScript Sports 
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